Use Box-jenkins Models for Predicting Traffic Accidents in Al-qadisiya Province

Use Box-jenkins Models for Predicting Traffic Accidents in Al-qadisiya Province

Saif Hosam Raheem
Al-Qadisiyah University, College of Administration and Economics

Abstract

The aim behind this study is to explore and analyze theTime-Series of the recorded accidents in the province of Al- Qadisiya (2010- 2014) by using (Box & Jenkins) method in analyzing(Identification, Estimation, Diagnostic Checking of the Model, Forecasting) . This is done in order to find the best forecasting model to the number of accidents in AL-Qadisiya Province by using the monthly data for the Directorate of Traffic in Al- Qadisiya. The results have shown that the the suitable model is the Autoregressive model AR

Doi: 10.52113/6/2017-7-2/190-200

Categories: Uncategorized